Dealer's Bust-Out Rate

If you've ever been undecided about whether to hit or stand in a game of blackjack when the dealer's upcard is a "bust card," learning about the dealer's bust-out rates can greatly improve your chances.

The average bust-out rates for a dealer are as follows:

Bust-Out Rate
2 35.30%
3 37.56%
4 40.28%
5 42.89%
6 42.08%
7 25.99%
8 23.86%
9 23.34%
10 21.43%
Ace 11.65%

The dealer has an average bust rate of 28.36% on any given hand and, as you can see, based on this chart, 4, 5, and 6 are the dealer's biggest bust cards. However, how do you know whether or not you should hit or stand and hope for the dealer to bust in a given situation? Your best bet is to take your own bust-out rates into consideration and then stand only when your chances of busting are greater than the dealer's chances. You don't want to take the chance of busting yourself when the dealer is more likely to bust than you are.

Average player bust-out rates are as follows:

Bust-Out Rate
12 31%
13 39%
14 56%
15 58%
16 62%
17 69%
18 77%
19 85%
20 92%